Saturday, February 20, 2010

Charlie Cook: Dems Have Made "One Of The Biggest Miscalculations That We’ve Seen In Modern Political History."

Wow! Charlie Cook  is incredibly blunt here (via Contentions):

"The usually mild-mannered pollster unloads:
This is a reality problem. And I think they just made some grave miscalculations and as it became more clear that they had screwed up, they just kept doubling down their bet. And so I think, no, this is one of the biggest miscalculations that we’ve seen in modern political history.
Yowser. What’s more, he says it is so bad: “And it’s very hard to come up with a scenario where Democrats don’t lose the House.” Sounds like more than a communication problem.

If Cook is right, and especially if the Democrats also lose the Senate (or come close to doing so), there will be another round of finger-pointing and excuse-mongering. There might even be some soul-searching. But until the Democrats lose enough bodies, it seems as though they aren’t going to rethink their approach and we aren’t going to get a course correction. That’s why they have elections, after all."

And this from Susan Estrich (same post):

"It’s not a communications problem. What’s gone wrong is that people see the country swimming in debt, see the jobs recovery lagging, see friends and neighbors who are not even hanging on, and they just don’t know how this administration is planning to pay for a massive health care reform effort. The appointment of a bipartisan commission on the deficit only underscores the problem and makes it seem that the administration has no answer for it except another new spending program."

So, to my friends who keep on insisting that Obama just hasn't gotten out his message . . . no, he has.  But the message - if not the messenger just yet - has been forcefully rejected.

You think the Dems are in trouble now?  You ain't seen nothing yet.

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